Coritiba host Mirassol at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in a fixture that leans toward the home side, backed by the numbers and the setting. Coritiba’s home xG (1.27) edges Mirassol’s away xG (1.17), and the two teams combine to an average total xG around 2.44 in meetings of this kind.

Best bets: Double Chance Coritiba Win or Draw 1.32 offers a safe angle given home value and Mirassol’s away struggles (8% win rate away).

Under 2.5 goals is the likely texture (58% historic), though the fixture sits near the 2-goal mark on the xG forecast. Consider Under 2.5 goals.

BTTS Yesfits the profile of both teams contributing, given the 58% baseline for BTTS between them.

Over 1.5 goals is reasonable (1.34), and Over 2.5 remains a longer shot (2.15) with the expected total around 2.4.

Corners tend to flow; Over 7.5 cornerslooks solid, with odds nudging toward 8–9 per match (historical average ~7.9).

Other notes: Coritiba’s clean sheet option sits, a risk-reward play given the home advantage. If Mirassol punch above away weight, a 1–1 or 2–1 type scoreline could appear, but the balance tilts toward Coritiba on the night. In short: a tight, chance-limited game with Coritiba pressuring at home and corners likely to accumulate.